This one will sound like a sales pitch, but it is not the intent.

We are probably entering a recession, my fifth as a working adult. In ’91 I was leaving a great job as a scientist to return to school, wondering what kind of a job market would be waiting for me on the other side. In ’01 I had recently started a new assignment running a textile company. In ’08 I started a new job at a small specialty finance company. The one in ’20 was a blur: fast and furious as we deployed hundreds of millions of dollars in PPP loans to do our part to support small businesses.

It all worked out okay. The cycle smoothed out and for every month of uncertainty and distress there was a year of prosperity and growth.

Here at Gulf Coast Small Business Lending, we aren’t “preparing” per se for the next one. We have never been stronger and more stable, and we are using this period of uncertainty to continue building the team while taking care of our existing borrowers and seeking out new ones.  The recession will come and go, and the following few years will be the best we’ve ever had. SBA loans are here to stay, and we’ll be here to support small businesses whether we’re in a recession or not.  I remain bullish about SBA lending.

I understand the allure of fixing things. Growing up I spent a lot of time with my grandfather, an electrician (he’s the one in the foreground of this photo) and rewired a broken fan before I hit eight. I get it. It’s exhilarating to find an object (or a company) in rough shape and know it can be fixed. Probably. Maybe.

As SBA lenders we frequently receive request for SBA loans to finance turnarounds and I thought it might be useful to give our perspective on what we look for when we consider financing turnarounds.

Let’s begin with a general observation and if you go no further reading, consider this – it always takes longer and requires more capital than anticipated to return a company to profitability. With that in mind, and stating the obvious, plan for it.

More specifically, here is what we like to see:

1. Prepare a 2-year weekly or monthly cash flow model. Not net income and not EBITDA, but real free cash flow taking into consideration working capital and capital expenditures. Stress that model by extending the loss-period and loss-depth.
2. Using that model, realistically analyze how much capital it would take to affect the turnaround. Look at the cumulative loss at its lowest point and be sure to reserve enough liquidity with some cushion to fund it.
3. Determine what went wrong in the first place. We would like to understand the experience, insight, and resources you bring to the project to make sure the turnaround is accomplished and the company returns to profitability.
4. Turnarounds, like startups, require a higher injection of cash equity relative to the debt they take on. Amortizing term debt in particular is inflexible once it is disbursed and should be used sparingly.

Got a turnaround you’d like us to look at? Reach out to us today and we will quickly tell you whether we can help.

From young age through college and grad schools, I don’t recall anyone ever calling me “stupid.” I was a good student, attentive and curious. At my various jobs as a scientist and management consultant I wasn’t considered “dumb.” My bosses complimented my analytical capabilities and my ability to quickly understand complex issues.

I then transitioned to principal investing: private equity, structured debt, and now SBA lending. And all of a sudden, I was being told “you don’t get it.” Sometimes accompanied by indecipherable jargon, fast-talking, eye-rolling and hand-waving.

Case in point: cryptocurrency.

As part of our jobs as lenders we have to evaluate opportunities and make investment decisions on businesses we may know little about. We take the task seriously, we study, and we ask questions. Many of these opportunities are funded once we understand them.

Advice to entrepreneurs: Be patient with us. We are smart but we don’t know your business as well as you do. Expect “dumb questions” and as you prepare to speak with us know that we are genuinely interested to learn.

Note to underwriters: Don’t approve loans to businesses you don’t understand.

I have so much to say, so much to talk about. But not today.

Today, I welcome you to our new website and to the little corner of it dedicated to my musings. Once or twice a month I will use this space to write about what’s on my mind, more likely than not the economy and how it impacts our SBA lending business. So, watch this space, follow me on LinkedIn and if you’d like to suggest a topic, get in touch!

— Nimi